Best Supporting Actor
Who Will Win-- Daniel Kaluuya for Judas and the Black Messiah
Kaluuya is a great talent. He can play good or bad. He's a charismatic actor willing to take chances. He was brilliant as Fred Hampton. He's gonna win and we can all hear his British accent as half the audience goes he's British?
Who Should Win--Sacha Baron Cohen for Trial of the Chicago 7
Cohen is fearless. His portrayal of Abbie Hoffman was also brilliant. The Trial of the Chicago 7 was dialogue heavy. It was an Aaron Sorkin talkfest. Some like that some dont. I do.
Best Supporting Actress
Who Will Win--Youn Yuh-Jung for Minari
I have no idea what this movie is about . I 'll see it eventually but this Oscar category is prime for unknowns. She is as unknown as they come. I'm sure she's great.
Who Should Win--Maria Bakalova for Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
This unknown Bulgarian actress was the perfect choice to hold together the only movie out in 2020 that held MAGA accountable for their treason and nuttiness. As fearless as Cohen is, so is she. Not to mention she had to put up with MAGA kook Rudy Giuliani
Best Actor
Who Will Win-- Chadwick Boseman for Ma Raineys Black Bottom
What tragedy this young man has happen to him. He was one of the most charismatic actors of his time and could have won Oscars already. He will win this one and he should. It was great performance
Who Should Win- Chadwick Boseman
But lets talk about Riz Ahmed in Sound of Metal. His portrayal of a heavy metal drummer going deaf and being in denial was brilliant. Any other year, I'd fight anybody about this. But this year sorry Riz.
Best Actress
Who Will Win--I think Viola Davis has a lock on this . She is the new Meryl Streep. She can do anything and her portrayal of Ma Rainey was yet another fearless acting job. The only way she doesnt win is if the old white Academy was turned off by a buxom gold teethed brave black woman telling them what to do.
Who Should Win-- Viola Davis
But like Davis, Frances McDormand dont give a fuck what you think of her. Her portrayal of a homeless van living woman in Nomadland was genius. Very few actresses could have pulled it off as easily as she appeared to do. If she does win, I wouldnt be surprised.
Best Picture
What Will Win--Nomadland
Nomadland is a generational movie. If you're older I think you can appreciate this more than younger folks. For example , Max thought this movie was a big Meh. Why does someone choose to live like this? To us older road trip folks, why wouldn't a person choose this lifestyle? Other than lack of courage or a desire for order in your life, who wouldn't like to travel the nation as free as you can be? The use of real life nomads made this even more real and I loved every second of it.
What Should Win-- Nomadland
But lets talk about Sound of Metal. This movie about the heavy metal drumming nomad with a bad hearing loss was as interesting a movie as can be. Its the only movie I watched twice. The 2nd time made it even more brilliant. Riz Ahmed going to the deaf rehab center, being in denial, getting "fixed" in an attempt to get back his old life and his ultimate acceptance really got to me, especially the 2nd viewing. The last movie I watched twice was Moonlight. This one is similar. We all know what happened with Moonlight.
Enjoy. It will be watched by hundreds